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Markets likely to fall (15-20%) in the next 18 months or so
My opinion is that there is a huge inward influence with the Trump Presidency and the resultant trade tariffs that are coming across almost all countries. Rupee is falling, that brings in a huge inflationary impact on our largely import dependent economy. Oil import bill will rise, bringing in fuel price increase and thus contributing to the input price increases across sectors. The era of cheap money is likely over as central banks across the world are tightening their monetary policies. All in all, the markets will give a negative return in the near term (12/18 months) in my view. However, continue to SIP, and one will make money over the long term. There will be increased volatility but then Tough men who make money will outlast the tough markets!1
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