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Sunday morning shower thoughts :Are Stock Market Movements Just Philosophy in Disguise?
So, I've been thinking about the stock market recently—not in the "investing genius" way, but in the "what even is this madness" way. Everyone talks about fundamentals, technicals, algorithms, macro trends, blah blah blah. But deep down, is the market just luck wrapped in a thin layer of human rationalization? Here’s the thing: If we live in a deterministic universe (big "if" there), every move in the market—from a billionaire’s impulsive trade to my panic-selling of Tata motors last week—was already "written" by the laws of physics and cause-effect chains going back to the Big Bang. So, all the analysis we do is basically just theater for something that's already set in stone, right? BUT... if the universe isn't deterministic (cue quantum mechanics), there’s a whole level of randomness baked into everything. Which means the stock market might be even less about logic and more about luck than we think. Like, maybe every earnings beat or miss, every rate hike, is just a ripple of chaotic energy we can’t measure. In this scenario, the stock market is less like a game of chess and more like gambling in a casino run by Schrodinger's cat. What if "luck" isn’t even luck, though? What if it’s just an unknown variable—some hidden algorithm of the universe we haven't figured out yet? We’re all sitting here talking about P/E ratios when the real puppet master is some cosmic X-factor, like gravitational waves or the butterfly effect from a squirrel sneezing in 2004. Maybe that’s why nobody can actually predict the market reliably. It’s not just that it's complex—it’s that it’s a reflection of a reality we barely understand. Trying to “beat the market” might be the same as trying to predict which way the wind blows in a storm: theoretically possible, but practically pointless. Anyway, am I the only one who feels like our entire financial system is based on a philosophical black box no one actually knows how to open? Discuss. Or don’t. Maybe the universe has already decided if this post gets upvotes or not.4
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