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Nifty Has hit it's new low so what's next ....
This is a comprehsive picture that I think might happen going forward ( share your opinion ) The market might continue to be bearish and reach 22500. From there we can expect an upside which might bring us back to 23500 to 24000 because of fomo of buying the dip After that FII will start existing in new high and bring the market back to its next new low that might be around 22500 -22000 Why FII will keep exiting ? - Weak rupee - Market is still overvalued - Tariff threat and uncertainty surrounding global market - Perception of weak indian economy persisting This trend might continue until this year's first quarter or second quarter earnings. I have confidence that companies will post better first and second quater earning this year , make sure you identify the winners. Combining market downturn and good earnings we might see PE ratio coming down to a reasonable level This will have following effects - This will strengthen the perception of Indian economy - Which will strengthen rupee - FII will finally return back but it will start out slow - By now behaviour of trump regime would be a bit more clear - Cool down of US market can be expected which will make investors search for new investment destinations and Indian market will look a bit more attractive. Confidence will build and this will have a coumpunding effect which will turn into a consistent Bull run At last by next year we might see nifty going past it's all time level of 26000 and then breaking 27000 and so on...... **** I personally think that the Bull will make a comeback at around June 2025 maybe a bit early or bit late . Points to look forward to from the most Important to the least 1) Strenth of Indian rupee 2) Q1 and Q2 earnings 3) Perception of Indian economy and inflation 4) Behaviour of trump regime and india - US relations 5) Relative strength of other investmet destinations like US market, Chinese market , Gold and Crypto currency ( By the time these destinations Cools down investors will look for better investment opportunity and Indian market will look really attractive after correction ) 6) Give your opinion I will add them ..... Belive in the growth story of India and be confident .3
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